Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 ÍR-völlur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Saevarsson A.
(Penalty)
32'
Einarsson O.
61'
Sub
Einarsson O. In: Palsson S.
Out: Einarsson O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between IR Reykjavik and Afturelding finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
IR Reykjavik
15%
Draws
42%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • IR Reykjavik haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Afturelding taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
IR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IR Reykjavik Afturelding
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.9 2.93
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs IR Reykjavik
4:7
Mar 29, 2026 Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
2:3
Feb 21, 2025 League Cup
IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs IR Reykjavik
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IR Reykjavik 22 / 100
Afturelding 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IR Reykjavik Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: IR Reykjavik scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Afturelding has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: IR Reykjavik stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IR Reykjavik VS Afturelding
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IR Reykjavik

(Home)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
21 Aug
Grotta
1 : 3
IR Reykjavik
17 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 1
Njardvik
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
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Afturelding

(Away)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)