Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IR Reykjavik vs KA Asvellir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bjorgvinsson G.
25' Event
Vignisson A.
26'
Steinarsson S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with IR Reykjavik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
IR Reykjavik
15%
Draws
34%
KA Asvellir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • KA Asvellir haven't matched IR Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on IR Reykjavik taking it.
  • IR Reykjavik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor IR Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43.2%
IR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 68%
KA Asvellir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IR Reykjavik KA Asvellir
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2 2.35
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2020 Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik vs KA Asvellir
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorgvinsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vignisson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

KA Asvellir Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliusson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IR Reykjavik 95 / 100
KA Asvellir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IR Reykjavik KA Asvellir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IR Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IR Reykjavik's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

KA Asvellir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

IR Reykjavik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IR Reykjavik VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

IR Reykjavik

(Home)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
21 Aug
Grotta
1 : 3
IR Reykjavik
17 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 1
Njardvik
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

KA Asvellir

(Away)
20 Mar
KA Asvellir
0 : 3
Selfoss
19 Apr
KR Reykjavik
11 : 0
KA Asvellir
05 Apr
KA Asvellir
3 : 2
KFR
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2
KA Asvellir
24 Apr
KA Asvellir
2 : 9
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 4
KM Reykjavik 1
SR Reykjavik 2
IBU 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir -
Skandinavia -
Kria 2
Hamar 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fjallabyggd 2
TBD -
Magni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 7
KB Breidholt 1
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 12
Smari 0
Njardvik 4
Arborg 1
Augnablik 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 4
Bjorninn 5
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Sindri 1
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
Vaengirs 3
KH Hlidarendi 1
KFB 1
Vidir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hviti 2
KFS 1
Selfoss 5
Snaefell 0
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 0
Kari 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Tindastoll 2
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Samherjar 3
Nokkvi 0
Haukar 3
Ellidi 1
Alftanes 0
Fram 4
Skallagrimur 0
Ymir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Asvellir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Berserkir 1
KFR 0
GG Grindavik 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 1
Alafoss 0
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Vestri 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Stokkseyri 3
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Lettir 1
Reynir 9
Throttur Vogar 2
Aegir 1
TBD -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji -
1/32-finals
Midas 0
SR Reykjavik 4
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir 6
Hamar 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Fjallabyggd 2
Magni 3
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 0
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 1
Arborg 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
Keflavik 5
Bjorninn 0
Grotta -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Fjardabyggd 1
Vaengirs 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Hviti 0
Selfoss 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Tindastoll 2
Samherjar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Ymir 1
IR Reykjavik 4
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
GG Grindavik 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 3
Vestri 1
TBD -
Samherjar -
Volsungur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Stokkseyri 2
Reynir 8
Throttur Vogar 1
Olafsvik 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Einherji 1
1/16-finals
SR Reykjavik 0
Valur 3
Kordrengir 2
Akranes 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Afturelding 3
Arborg 0
Breidablik 3
Keflavik 2
Grotta 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Vaengirs 1
KR Reykjavik 8
Fjolnir 3
Selfoss 2
KA Akureyri 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7
Tindastoll 0
Fram 3
IR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Fylkir 8
Throttur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Reynir 1
Olafsvik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 3
Leiknir Faskruds 0
1/8-finals
Valur 3
Akranes 1
Kopavogur 6
Afturelding 2
Breidablik 3
Grotta 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Fram 2
Fylkir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Quarter-finals
Valur 2
Kopavogur 1
Breidablik 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Stjarnan 0
Semi-finals
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
Final
TBD -
TBD -