Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IR Reykjavik vs Throttur

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 ÍR-völlur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Gunnarsson S.
18'
Sigurdsson J.
21'
Sigurdsson J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
IR Reykjavik
15%
Draws
53%
Throttur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Throttur have won more games recently than IR Reykjavik.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
IR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
Throttur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IR Reykjavik Throttur
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.9 2.21
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Throttur
1:1
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs IR Reykjavik
3:1
Aug 13, 2025 Division 1
Throttur vs IR Reykjavik
3:1
Jun 4, 2025 Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Throttur
2:1
Aug 9, 2024 Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Throttur
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurhjartarson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Blondal E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IR Reykjavik 30 / 100
Throttur 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IR Reykjavik Throttur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: IR Reykjavik scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Throttur let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

IR Reykjavik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IR Reykjavik VS Throttur
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IR Reykjavik

(Home)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
21 Aug
Grotta
1 : 3
IR Reykjavik
17 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 1
Njardvik
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Throttur

(Away)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Throttur
2 : 1
Njardvik
09 Sept
Njardvik
0 : 1
Throttur
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)