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IR Tanger vs Maghreb Fez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IR Tanger host Maghreb Fez in the Botola Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: IR Tanger at 1.07 goals for, 0.86 against; Maghreb Fez at 1.32 for, 0.68 against. Past meetings favor IR Tanger slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.25) point toward Maghreb Fez. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
IR Tanger
30%
Draws
38%
Maghreb Fez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Maghreb Fez carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on IR Tanger taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 19%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IR Tanger Maghreb Fez
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs IR Tanger
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Maghreb Fez
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs IR Tanger
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Maghreb Fez
1:1
Mar 28, 2024 Coupe du Trone
Maghreb Fez vs IR Tanger
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IR Tanger 42 / 100
Maghreb Fez 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IR Tanger Maghreb Fez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: IR Tanger stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

IR Tanger scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Maghreb Fez let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

IR Tanger VS Maghreb Fez
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

IR Tanger

(Home)
02 Oct
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Moghreb Tetouan
24 Sept
Amal Tiznit
1 : 3
IR Tanger
19 Sept
IR Tanger
1 : 0
Widad Temara
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
14 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0
IR Tanger
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Maghreb Fez

(Away)
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
12 Sept
Rahimo
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
06 Sept
Maghreb Fez
4 : 1
Rahimo
05 Jul
Maghreb Fez
2 : 0
Dcheira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Union Touarga 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 IR Tanger 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 COD Meknes 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
5 Widad Temara 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Kawkab Marrakech 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Wydad Athletic 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Raja Casablanca 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Hassania Agadir 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Amal Tiznit 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Moghreb Tetouan 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Berkane 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 FAR Rabat 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 FUS Rabat 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
15 Renaissance Zemamra 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
16 Difaa El Jadidi 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2027/2028 (Main)