Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IR Tanger vs Raja Casablanca

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
38'
Kiani Z.
43'
Saoud M.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro 2025/2026 game between IR Tanger and Raja Casablanca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
IR Tanger
30%
Draws
33%
Raja Casablanca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: IR Tanger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Raja Casablanca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • IR Tanger are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 20%
Raja Casablanca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IR Tanger Raja Casablanca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs IR Tanger
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Club Friendly
IR Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
0:0
Jan 23, 2025 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs IR Tanger
1:1
Sep 25, 2024 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IR Tanger Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ouadghiri B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Raja Casablanca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IR Tanger 42 / 100
Raja Casablanca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IR Tanger Raja Casablanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: IR Tanger stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: IR Tanger scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Raja Casablanca let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

IR Tanger VS Raja Casablanca
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

IR Tanger

(Home)
02 Oct
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Moghreb Tetouan
24 Sept
Amal Tiznit
1 : 3
IR Tanger
19 Sept
IR Tanger
1 : 0
Widad Temara
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
14 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0
IR Tanger
Page 1 of 6

Raja Casablanca

(Away)
03 Oct
Raja Casablanca
1 : 0
Renaissance Zemamra
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Raja Casablanca
25 Jun
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 1
Raja Casablanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Main)