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Iraklis Thermaikou vs PAOK Dytikou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Iraklis Thermaikou and PAOK Dytikou finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Iraklis Thermaikou
30%
Draws
19%
PAOK Dytikou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iraklis Thermaikou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iraklis Thermaikou come out ahead of PAOK Dytikou on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iraklis Thermaikou a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 68%
PAOK Dytikou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Thermaikou PAOK Dytikou
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.36 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs PAOK Dytikou
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Dytikou vs Iraklis Thermaikou
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Thermaikou 95 / 100
PAOK Dytikou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Thermaikou PAOK Dytikou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraklis Thermaikou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis Thermaikou scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: PAOK Dytikou conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Iraklis Thermaikou stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Iraklis Thermaikou VS PAOK Dytikou
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraklis Thermaikou

(Home)
27 Sept
Agiou Nikolaou
1 : 1
Iraklis Thermaikou
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 1
Poseidonas Michanionas
28 Mar
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
Page 1 of 6

PAOK Dytikou

(Away)
08 Apr
PAOK Dytikou
1 : 3
Krya Vrysi
05 Apr
PAOK Dytikou
0 : 0
Thermaikos FC
01 Apr
Kilkisiakos
5 : 3
PAOK Dytikou
28 Mar
Orestis Orestiadas
0 : 1
PAOK Dytikou
22 Mar
PAOK Dytikou
0 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panthrakikos 22 16 3 3 52:16 51
2 Xanthi 22 12 8 2 48:17 44
3 Doxa Dramas 22 13 4 5 41:25 43
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 22 10 8 4 31:18 38
5 Poseidonas Michanionas 22 8 10 4 28:22 34
6 Aetos Ofryniou 22 10 3 9 37:37 33
7 PAOK Kristonis 22 7 8 7 24:28 29
8 Krya Vrysi 22 6 8 8 29:30 26
9 Thermaikos FC 22 6 4 12 19:32 22
10 Kilkisiakos 22 5 6 11 26:38 21
11 PAOK Dytikou 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Orestis Orestiadas 22 1 1 20 12:63 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Losers stage)