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Iraklis Thermaikou vs Thermaikos FC

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 game between Iraklis Thermaikou and Thermaikos FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Iraklis Thermaikou
39%
Draws
31%
Thermaikos FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Thermaikos FC haven't matched Iraklis Thermaikou's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 68%
Thermaikos FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Thermaikou Thermaikos FC
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Thermaikos FC
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Thermaikos FC vs Iraklis Thermaikou
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Thermaikou 41 / 100
Thermaikos FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Thermaikou Thermaikos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iraklis Thermaikou scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Thermaikos FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Iraklis Thermaikou stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraklis Thermaikou VS Thermaikos FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraklis Thermaikou

(Home)
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 1
Poseidonas Michanionas
28 Mar
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
22 Mar
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 2
Panthrakikos
Page 1 of 6

Thermaikos FC

(Away)
08 Apr
Orestis Orestiadas
1 : 3
Thermaikos FC
05 Apr
PAOK Dytikou
0 : 0
Thermaikos FC
01 Apr
Thermaikos FC
3 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
28 Mar
Thermaikos FC
1 : 1
Kilkisiakos
22 Mar
Krya Vrysi
1 : 3
Thermaikos FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panthrakikos22163352:1651
2Xanthi22128248:1744
3Doxa Dramas22134541:2543
4Iraklis Thermaikou22108431:1838
5Poseidonas Michanionas22810428:2234
6Aetos Ofryniou22103937:3733
7PAOK Kristonis2278724:2829
8Krya Vrysi2268829:3026
9Thermaikos FC22641219:3222
10Kilkisiakos22561126:3821
11PAOK Dytikou22371221:4216
12Orestis Orestiadas22112012:634
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)