Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iraklis Thermaikou host Xanthi in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Iraklis Thermaikou have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Xanthi's 2 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Iraklis Thermaikou have won 1 to Xanthi's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Xanthi. Xanthi in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Iraklis Thermaikou

40%

Draws

29%

Xanthi

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Xanthi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Iraklis Thermaikou.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 17%

Xanthi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iraklis Thermaikou	Xanthi
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	13	15
Draws	9	10
Losses	5	4
Goals Scored	1.13	2
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

Iraklis Thermaikou vs Xanthi

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

Xanthi vs Iraklis Thermaikou

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

Iraklis Thermaikou vs Xanthi

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 0 - 0

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Thermaikou 31 / 100

Xanthi 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iraklis Thermaikou Xanthi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis Thermaikou scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Xanthi let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Iraklis Thermaikou went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Xanthi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraklis Thermaikou VS Xanthi

1.13 Goals Scored 2

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panthrakikos	22	16	3	3	52:16	51
2	Xanthi	22	12	8	2	48:17	44
3	Doxa Dramas	22	13	4	5	41:25	43
4	Iraklis Thermaikou	22	10	8	4	31:18	38
5	Poseidonas Michanionas	22	8	10	4	28:22	34
6	Aetos Ofryniou	22	10	3	9	37:37	33
7	PAOK Kristonis	22	7	8	7	24:28	29
8	Krya Vrysi	22	6	8	8	29:30	26
9	Thermaikos FC	22	6	4	12	19:32	22
10	Kilkisiakos	22	5	6	11	26:38	21
11	PAOK Dytikou	22	3	7	12	21:42	16
12	Orestis Orestiadas	22	1	1	20	12:63	4