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Iraklis Thermaikou vs Xanthi

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xanthi in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xanthi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Iraklis Thermaikou
20%
Draws
40%
Xanthi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Xanthi have won more games recently than Iraklis Thermaikou.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Xanthi taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 15%
Xanthi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Thermaikou Xanthi
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.37 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Xanthi
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Xanthi vs Iraklis Thermaikou
0:3
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Xanthi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Thermaikou 19 / 100
Xanthi 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Thermaikou Xanthi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xanthi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis Thermaikou's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Iraklis Thermaikou has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Xanthi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Iraklis Thermaikou VS Xanthi
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraklis Thermaikou

(Home)
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 1
Poseidonas Michanionas
28 Mar
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
22 Mar
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 2
Panthrakikos
Page 1 of 6

Xanthi

(Away)
30 Aug
Doxa Dramas
1 : 2
Xanthi
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Xanthi
2 : 0
Panthrakikos
01 Apr
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 7
Xanthi
28 Mar
Xanthi
0 : 1
Doxa Dramas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panthrakikos 22 16 3 3 52:16 51
2 Xanthi 22 12 8 2 48:17 44
3 Doxa Dramas 22 13 4 5 41:25 43
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 22 10 8 4 31:18 38
5 Poseidonas Michanionas 22 8 10 4 28:22 34
6 Aetos Ofryniou 22 10 3 9 37:37 33
7 PAOK Kristonis 22 7 8 7 24:28 29
8 Krya Vrysi 22 6 8 8 29:30 26
9 Thermaikos FC 22 6 4 12 19:32 22
10 Kilkisiakos 22 5 6 11 26:38 21
11 PAOK Dytikou 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Orestis Orestiadas 22 1 1 20 12:63 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Losers stage)