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Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ethnikos Latsion

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraklis Yerolakkou play Ethnikos Latsion in the Division 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraklis Yerolakkou averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Ethnikos Latsion averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Iraklis Yerolakkou won 1, Ethnikos Latsion won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Iraklis Yerolakkou and 0.88 for Ethnikos Latsion. This points to a Iraklis Yerolakkou double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Iraklis Yerolakkou
32%
Draws
29%
Ethnikos Latsion
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Iraklis Yerolakkou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Iraklis Yerolakkou picked up more points recently compared to Ethnikos Latsion.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Iraklis Yerolakkou Clean Sheet 25%
Ethnikos Latsion Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Yerolakkou Ethnikos Latsion
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Division 2
Ethnikos Latsion vs Iraklis Yerolakkou
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Division 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ethnikos Latsion
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ethnikos Latsion
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraklis Yerolakkou Compare

Top Goalscorer Koroma O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ethnikos Latsion Compare

Top Goalscorer Tunnah L. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Yerolakkou 40 / 100
Ethnikos Latsion 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Yerolakkou Ethnikos Latsion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraklis Yerolakkou or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraklis Yerolakkou attacking → ← attacking Ethnikos Latsion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis Yerolakkou scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Ethnikos Latsion let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Iraklis Yerolakkou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ethnikos Latsion lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 30
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88