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Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Kitiou

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraklis Yerolakkou play Kitiou in the Division 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraklis Yerolakkou averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Kitiou averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Iraklis Yerolakkou won 1, Kitiou won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Iraklis Yerolakkou and 1.06 for Kitiou. This points to a Iraklis Yerolakkou double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Iraklis Yerolakkou
35%
Draws
31%
Kitiou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iraklis Yerolakkou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Iraklis Yerolakkou picked up more points recently compared to Kitiou.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Iraklis Yerolakkou Clean Sheet 22%
Kitiou Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Yerolakkou Kitiou
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Division 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Kitiou
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 Division 2
Kitiou vs Iraklis Yerolakkou
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Division 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Kitiou
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraklis Yerolakkou Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsiattalas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raspas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kitiou Compare

Top Goalscorer Eloundou C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Yerolakkou 35 / 100
Kitiou 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Yerolakkou Kitiou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraklis Yerolakkou or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraklis Yerolakkou attacking → ← attacking Kitiou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis Yerolakkou scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Kitiou let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Iraklis Yerolakkou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kitiou lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 39
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63