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Stadium Background

Iran U17 vs Afghanistan U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Nafari H.
32' Event
Gholizadeh E.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Niazi H.

AI Match Summary

Iran U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Iran U17
15%
Draws
20%
Afghanistan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iran U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iran U17 lately — more wins on the board than Afghanistan U17.
  • Iran U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Iran U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Iran U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Afghanistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U17 Afghanistan U17
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 13 7
Draws 3 0
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 Friendly International
Iran U17 vs Afghanistan U17
3:1
Jun 16, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U17
Iran U17 vs Afghanistan U17
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taheri K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nafari H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Afghanistan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Niazi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U17 85 / 100
Afghanistan U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U17 Afghanistan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U17 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Afghanistan U17 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Recent resilience: Iran U17 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iran U17 VS Afghanistan U17
2.38 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Iran U17
1 : 2
India U17
28 Nov
Palestine U17
1 : 3
Iran U17
26 Nov
Iran U17
1 : 1
Lebanon U17
24 Nov
Chinese Taipei U17
0 : 5
Iran U17
30 May
Iran U17
3 : 1
Afghanistan U17
Page 1 of 6

Afghanistan U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Oman U17
4 : 0
Afghanistan U17
28 Nov
Afghanistan U17
2 : 0
Nepal U17
26 Nov
Afghanistan U17
1 : 3
Syria U17
22 Nov
Myanmar U17
3 : 1
Afghanistan U17
30 May
Iran U17
3 : 1
Afghanistan U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Yemen U17 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Malaysia U17 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Laos U17 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U17 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 South Korea U17 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Afghanistan U17 3 1 0 2 3:11 3
4 Qatar U17 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U17 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Australia U17 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Tajikistan U17 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
4 China U17 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 2 1 0 13:5 7
2 Uzbekistan U17 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 India U17 3 0 1 2 5:10 1
4 Vietnam U17 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)