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Iran U20 vs Indonesia U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base - Artificial grass, Shenzhen
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Match Events

5' Event
Nafari H.
Assist: Gholizadeh E.
46'
Sub
Abdulmanan A. In: Ama Ola M.
Out: Abdulmanan A.
52'
Sub
Arrosyid Z. In: Pamungkas F.
Out: Arrosyid Z.

AI Match Summary

Iran U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Iran U20
30%
Draws
31%
Indonesia U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iran U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iran U20 lately — more wins on the board than Indonesia U20.
  • Model gives Iran U20 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Iran U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Iran U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Indonesia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U20 Indonesia U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
Iran U20 vs Indonesia U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nafari H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gholizadeh E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Indonesia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U20 42 / 100
Indonesia U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U20 Indonesia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Indonesia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Iran U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iran U20 VS Indonesia U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Iran U20
3 : 1
Vietnam U20
03 Sept
North Korea U20
2 : 1
Iran U20
31 Aug
Iran U20
2 : 1
Palestine U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
17 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U20
0 : 2
Iran U20
Page 1 of 6

Indonesia U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Australia U20
0 : 2
Indonesia U20
03 Sept
Laos U20
0 : 3
Indonesia U20
31 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
Malaysia U20
22 Aug
Indonesia U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
21 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 China U20 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
2 Iraq U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Jordan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 North Korea U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Uzbekistan U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Indonesia U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
4 Yemen U20 3 0 1 2 0:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Japan U20 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 Syria U20 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
4 Thailand U20 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)