Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran U20 vs Japan U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base - Artificial grass, Shenzhen
Sun, Feb 23, 2025
1 - 2
08:15 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ghandipour R.
30' Event
Ogura K.
Assist: Umeki R.
64'
Ogura K.

AI Match Summary

Japan U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Iran U20
15%
Draws
51%
Japan U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Iran U20 have won more games recently than Japan U20.
  • Japan U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Iran U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Iran U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Japan U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U20 Japan U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.1 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
Iran U20 vs Japan U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghandipour R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogura K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U20 10 / 100
Japan U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U20 Japan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iran U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Japan U20 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Iran U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iran U20 VS Japan U20
1.33 Goals Scored 1.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Iran U20
3 : 1
Vietnam U20
03 Sept
North Korea U20
2 : 1
Iran U20
31 Aug
Iran U20
2 : 1
Palestine U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
17 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U20
0 : 2
Iran U20
Page 1 of 6

Japan U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Japan U20
4 : 0
Yemen U20
03 Sept
Cambodia U20
0 : 8
Japan U20
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0
Kuwait U20
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
06 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 0
Canada U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Australia U20 3
Iraq U20 2
Iran U20 1
Japan U20 2
Saudi Arabia U20 1
China U20 0
South Korea U20 4
Uzbekistan U20 3
Semi-finals
Australia U20 2
Japan U20 0
Saudi Arabia U20 1
South Korea U20 0
Final
Australia U20 2
Saudi Arabia U20 1