Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran U20 vs Mongolia U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Gholizadeh E.
33' Event
Mazrae Y.
43' Event
Taheri K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Iran U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Iran U20
15%
Draws
32%
Mongolia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iran U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Iran U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Iran U20 taking it.
  • Iran U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Iran U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Mongolia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U20 Mongolia U20
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 18 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.1 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.73 4.45
Expected Goals (xG) 3.53 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
Iran U20 vs Mongolia U20
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gholizadeh E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mazrae Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.72
Avg xA / game 1.76

Mongolia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U20 85 / 100
Mongolia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U20 Mongolia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Iran U20's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mongolia U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Solid form: Iran U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iran U20 VS Mongolia U20
2.63 Goals Scored 1.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 4.43
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Iran U20
3 : 1
Vietnam U20
03 Sept
North Korea U20
2 : 1
Iran U20
31 Aug
Iran U20
2 : 1
Palestine U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
17 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U20
0 : 2
Iran U20
Page 1 of 6

Mongolia U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Mongolia U20
3 : 0
Guam U20
31 Aug
Northern Mariana Islands U20
0 : 7
Mongolia U20
19 Nov
Australia U20
10 : 0
Mongolia U20
16 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U20
7 : 0
Mongolia U20
13 Nov
China U20
6 : 0
Mongolia U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U20 4 4 0 0 16:1 12
2 Vietnam U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Bangladesh U20 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
4 Guam U20 4 0 2 2 4:16 2
5 Bhutan U20 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 4 4 0 0 21:1 12
2 Cambodia U20 4 2 1 1 6:9 7
3 Bahrain U20 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
4 Nepal U20 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
5 Chinese Taipei U20 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 United Arab Emirates U20 4 2 1 1 17:5 7
3 Kuwait U20 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
4 Lebanon U20 4 1 0 3 11:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 4 3 1 0 10:0 10
2 Australia U20 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Afghanistan U20 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
4 Palestine U20 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
5 Macau U20 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
2 Oman U20 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
3 Tajikistan U20 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 Malaysia U20 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Sri Lanka U20 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Yemen U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Laos U20 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Mongolia U20 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 18:1 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:32 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Myanmar U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Hong Kong U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Singapore U20 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams