Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran U23 vs Hong Kong U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2022
Iran U23 Logo

Iran U23

0 - 1
FT
Hong Kong U23 Logo

Hong Kong U23

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Poon Pui-Hin
62'
Sub
Wong Ho-Chun Anson In: Lam Lok-Kan J.
Out: Wong Ho-Chun Anson
68'
Sub
Sabet Imani G. In: Barzegar A.
Out: Sabet Imani G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Hong Kong U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Iran U23
20%
Draws
30%
Hong Kong U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iran U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Iran U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Iran U23 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Iran U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran U23, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Iran U23 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Hong Kong U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U23 Hong Kong U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.61 0.87
Goals Conceded 1 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iran U23 vs Hong Kong U23
4:0
Oct 1, 2023 Asian Games
Iran U23 vs Hong Kong U23
0:1
Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iran U23 vs Hong Kong U23
3:0
Dec 3, 2006 Asian Games
Hong Kong U23 vs Iran U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Hong Kong U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Poon Pui-Hin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U23 95 / 100
Hong Kong U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U23 Hong Kong U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U23's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hong Kong U23 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Iran U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iran U23 VS Hong Kong U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U23

(Home)
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4
North Korea U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3
Iran U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U23
Page 1 of 7

Hong Kong U23

(Away)
23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0
Hong Kong U23
09 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 0
Guam U23
06 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 2
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
China U23 1
Qatar U23 0
South Korea U23 5
Kyrgyzstan U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 2
Indonesia U23 0
India U23 0
Saudi Arabia U23 2
Iran U23 2
Thailand U23 0
Hong Kong U23 1
Palestine U23 0
Japan U23 7
Myanmar U23 0
North Korea U23 2
Bahrain U23 0
Quarter-finals
China U23 0
South Korea U23 2
Uzbekistan U23 2
Saudi Arabia U23 1
Iran U23 0
Hong Kong U23 1
Japan U23 2
North Korea U23 1
Semi-finals
South Korea U23 2
Uzbekistan U23 1
Hong Kong U23 0
Japan U23 4
Final
South Korea U23 2
Japan U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 4
Hong Kong U23 0