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Friendly International 2025 Hazza bin Zayed Stadium

Cape Verde

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iran play Cape Verde in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iran averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Cape Verde averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Iran won 1, Cape Verde won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 13, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Iran and 1.06 for Cape Verde. This points to a Iran double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Iran

24%

Draws

29%

Cape Verde

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Iran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Iran picked up more points recently compared to Cape Verde.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Iran Clean Sheet 22%

Cape Verde Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iran	Cape Verde
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	16	13
Draws	7	7
Losses	5	10
Goals Scored	1.79	1.3
Goals Conceded	0.82	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International

Iran vs Cape Verde

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran 47 / 100

Cape Verde 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iran Cape Verde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iran or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iran attacking → ← attacking Cape Verde

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Cape Verde let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Iran went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cape Verde lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 46

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25