Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran vs Gambia

World World

Friendly International Mardan Sports Complex, Antalya
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Sidibeh A. In: Bojang A.
Out: Sidibeh A.
42' Event
Colley O.
Assist: Colley E.
46'
Sub
Hajsafi E. In: Khalilzadeh S.
Out: Hajsafi E.

AI Match Summary

Iran in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Iran
35%
Draws
20%
Gambia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Iran have won more games recently than Gambia.
  • 20% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Iran Clean Sheet 17%
Gambia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran Gambia
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Friendly International
Iran vs Gambia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran Compare

Top Goalscorer Yousefi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rezaeian R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Gambia Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran 36 / 100
Gambia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran Gambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Iran has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Iran scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Gambia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iran VS Gambia
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran

(Home)
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
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Gambia

(Away)
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1
Gambia
18 Nov
Kuwait
2 : 2
Gambia
14 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7
Gambia
10 Oct
Gambia
3 : 4
Gabon
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