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Stadium Background

Iran W vs Australia W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sayer A.
Assist: Carpenter E.
27' Event
Fowler M.
35' Event
Kennedy A.
Assist: Kerr S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Iran W
15%
Draws
85%
Australia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Australia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Australia W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Australia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Australia W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Iran W Clean Sheet 10%
Australia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran W Australia W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.43 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Iran W vs Australia W
0:4
Oct 26, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Australia W vs Iran W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Australia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kennedy A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sayer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran W 10 / 100
Australia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran W Australia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Australia W conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Iran W scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Australia W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Iran W VS Australia W
0.71 Goals Scored 2.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran W

(Home)
08 Mar
Iran W
0 : 2
Philippines W
05 Mar
Iran W
0 : 4
Australia W
02 Mar
South Korea W
3 : 0
Iran W
02 Dec
Uzbekistan W
1 : 0
Iran W
29 Nov
Uzbekistan W
2 : 0
Iran W
Page 1 of 6

Australia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1
Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
15 Apr
Kenya W
0 : 2
Australia W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0
Malawi W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0
Australia W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Australia W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Philippines W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Iran W 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 North Korea W 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Uzbekistan W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Vietnam W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 India W 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams