Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Irapuato vs Dorados de Sinaloa

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Sergio León Chavez
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sanchez E.
30'
Egana A.
53'
Sub
Suarez L. In: Osuna D.
Out: Suarez L.

AI Match Summary

Irapuato host Dorados de Sinaloa in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Irapuato at 2 goals for, 1.88 against; Dorados de Sinaloa at 0.88 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, Irapuato have won 2 to Dorados de Sinaloa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (2.06 - 1.38) back Irapuato to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Irapuato
28%
Draws
22%
Dorados de Sinaloa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Irapuato has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dorados de Sinaloa.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Irapuato.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 17%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Dorados de Sinaloa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Dorados de Sinaloa
5:0
Sep 6, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Irapuato
0:1
Apr 4, 2015 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Dorados de Sinaloa
0:0
Feb 18, 2015 Copa Mexico
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Irapuato
3:0
Feb 5, 2015 Copa Mexico
Irapuato vs Dorados de Sinaloa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Irapuato Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dorados de Sinaloa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 48 / 100
Dorados de Sinaloa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Dorados de Sinaloa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irapuato scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Dorados de Sinaloa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Irapuato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dorados de Sinaloa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Dorados de Sinaloa
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tepatitlan de Morelos1475221:1026
2Cancun1474324:1725
3Club Atletico Morelia1472518:1223
4Atletico La Paz1457222:1222
5Jaiba Brava1463515:1521
6Zacatecas Mineros1463519:2021
7Tapatio1462628:2420
8Atlante1455421:1720
9Irapuato1462627:2420
10Tlaxcala1455416:1720
11Venados FC1444625:2516
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1444620:2916
13Dorados de Sinaloa1434717:2813
14Correcaminos1433814:2712
15Leones Negros1425715:2511