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Stadium Background

Irapuato vs Tigres de Alica

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
41' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Irapuato in this Primera Premier matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Irapuato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Irapuato
20%
Draws
28%
Tigres de Alica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Irapuato haven't matched Tigres de Alica's recent run of results.
  • Irapuato are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 17%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Tigres de Alica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Premier
Irapuato vs Tigres de Alica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 66 / 100
Tigres de Alica 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Tigres de Alica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irapuato went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Irapuato scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Tigres de Alica has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Tigres de Alica
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Irapuato

(Home)
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
05 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 3
Irapuato
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 6

Tigres de Alica

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Zacatepec 5 3 1 1 6:5 10
3 Reboceros de La Piedad 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
4 Los Cabos United 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
5 Tigres de Alica 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Tritones Vallarta 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
7 Lobos ULMX 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
8 Cordobes FC 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
9 Purepechas 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 16:6 13
2 Celaya 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
3 Pioneros 4 3 0 1 12:5 10
4 Deportiva Venados 4 1 2 1 8:6 6
5 Montaneses 5 2 1 2 8:10 6
6 Jaguares De Chiapas 4 1 1 2 4:5 5
7 Tapachula 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
8 Chapulineros 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
9 Inter Playa Del Carmen 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)