Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iraq U23 vs Bahrain U23

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Nawaf M.

AI Match Summary

Iraq U23 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iraq U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Iraq U23
15%
Draws
85%
Bahrain U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahrain U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iraq U23 lately — more wins on the board than Bahrain U23.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Iraq U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahrain U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U23 Bahrain U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Friendly International
Iraq U23 vs Bahrain U23
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Friendly International
Iraq U23 vs Bahrain U23
1:0
Oct 31, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Bahrain U23
3:0
Jan 11, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bahrain U23 vs Iraq U23
2:2
Sep 9, 2019 Friendly International
Bahrain U23 vs Iraq U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawaf M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Bahrain U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U23 36 / 100
Bahrain U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U23 Bahrain U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahrain U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Bahrain U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Iraq U23 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U23 VS Bahrain U23
1.13 Goals Scored 0.33
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.17
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U23

(Home)
28 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
Page 1 of 6

Bahrain U23

(Away)
11 Dec
Bahrain U23
1 : 2
Kuwait U23
08 Dec
Bahrain U23
0 : 1
Qatar U23
05 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
5 : 0
Bahrain U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0
Bahrain U23
15 Nov
Bahrain U23
0 : 2
Russia U21
Page 1 of 6