Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iraq U23 vs Yemen U23

Asia Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraq U23 play Yemen U23 in the Arabian Gulf Cup U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraq U23 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. Yemen U23 averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Iraq U23 won 3, Yemen U23 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 4, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Iraq U23 and 1.00 for Yemen U23. This points to a Iraq U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Iraq U23
15%
Draws
32%
Yemen U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iraq U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Iraq U23 picked up more points recently compared to Yemen U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 23%
Yemen U23 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U23 Yemen U23
Matches Played 42 28
Wins 22 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Yemen U23
1:2
Aug 28, 2023 Friendly International
Iraq U23 vs Yemen U23
3:0
Mar 22, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Yemen U23
5:0
Jan 13, 2016 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Yemen U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mousa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Yemen U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Khadher Abdulnabi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U23 52 / 100
Yemen U23 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U23 Yemen U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Iraq U23 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraq U23 attacking → ← attacking Yemen U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq U23 scored in 79% of their last 42 games.

Yemen U23 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Iraq U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Yemen U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.20

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saudi Arabia U2332107:17
2Qatar U2332105:17
3Kuwait U2331022:53
4Bahrain U2330031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iraq U2332014:26
2United Arab Emirates U2332015:26
3Yemen U2331114:54
4Oman U2330121:51