Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iraq vs Oman

Asia Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah
Iraq Logo

Iraq

1 - 1
FT
Oman Logo

Oman

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Qasim M.
Assist: Hussein A.
45'
Bayesh I.
46'
Sub
Hashem A. In: Jabbar M.
Out: Hashem A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Iraq
30%
Draws
62%
Oman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oman lately — more wins on the board than Iraq.
  • Oman are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Oman arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Iraq Clean Sheet 21%
Oman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq Oman
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Arabian Gulf Cup
Iraq vs Oman
1:1
Nov 19, 2024 World Championship
Oman vs Iraq
0:1
Sep 5, 2024 World Championship
Iraq vs Oman
1:0
Jan 19, 2023 Arabian Gulf Cup
Iraq vs Oman
3:2
Jan 6, 2023 Arabian Gulf Cup
Iraq vs Oman
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Qasim M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Oman Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rawahi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq 10 / 100
Oman 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq Oman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Oman conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Iraq remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iraq VS Oman
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq

(Home)
23 Sept
Iraq
1 : 1
Oman
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
16 Jun
Iraq
1 : 4
Norway
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
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Oman

(Away)
23 Sept
Iraq
1 : 1
Oman
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jun
Indonesia
3 : 0
Oman
08 Dec
Oman
2 : 1
Comoros
05 Dec
Oman
0 : 0
Morocco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Oman 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Iraq 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Kuwait 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Qatar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Bahrain 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Yemen 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup (Play Offs)