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Iraq W vs Tajikistan W Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Halimova J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Tajikistan W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Iraq W
15%
Draws
12%
Tajikistan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iraq W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Iraq W haven't matched Tajikistan W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Iraq W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Tajikistan W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tajikistan W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
Iraq W Clean Sheet 10%
Tajikistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq W Tajikistan W
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 3 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 0.6 0.87
Goals Conceded 3.65 4.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2017 Asian Cup Women
Iraq W vs Tajikistan W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Tajikistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Halimova J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq W 65 / 100
Tajikistan W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq W Tajikistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Tajikistan W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Iraq W's goal record stands at 20% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Iraq W VS Tajikistan W
0.63 Goals Scored 0
4.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq W

(Home)
02 Dec
Iraq W
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia W
30 Nov
Jordan W
3 : 0
Iraq W
26 Nov
United Arab Emirates W
0 : 3
Iraq W
24 Nov
Iraq W
1 : 2
Saudi Arabia W
02 Jul
India W
5 : 0
Iraq W
Page 1 of 4

Tajikistan W

(Away)
05 Mar
United Arab Emirates W
0 : 0
Tajikistan W
05 Jul
Palestine W
3 : 0
Tajikistan W
02 Jul
Tajikistan W
0 : 1
Malaysia W
29 Jun
North Korea W
10 : 0
Tajikistan W
26 Feb
Saudi Arabia W
3 : 0
Tajikistan W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan W 5 5 0 0 37:3 15
2 Philippines W 5 3 1 1 18:6 10
3 Bahrain W 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
4 United Arab Emirates W 5 2 1 2 5:11 7
5 Tajikistan W 5 1 0 4 3:23 3
6 Iraq W 5 0 0 5 0:22 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea W 4 3 1 0 21:1 10
2 North Korea W 4 3 1 0 18:1 10
3 Uzbekistan W 4 2 0 2 9:10 6
4 India W 4 1 0 3 3:25 3
5 Hong Kong W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Chinese Taipei W 2 1 0 1 5:1 3
3 Guam W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Lebanon W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Palestine W 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 4 4 0 0 27:1 12
2 Myanmar W 4 3 0 1 22:2 9
3 Iran W 4 2 0 2 19:8 6
4 Singapore W 4 1 0 3 1:20 3
5 Syria W 4 0 0 4 0:38 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)