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Ireland U19 vs Italy U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Arena A.
46'
Sub
Dottori C. In: Mambuku J.
Out: Dottori C.
46' Event
Arena A.

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 in this Euro U19 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ireland U19
15%
Draws
48%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U19 lately — more wins on the board than Ireland U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ireland U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.46 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U19
Ireland U19 vs Italy U19
1:2
Mar 23, 2017 Euro U19
Ireland U19 vs Italy U19
2:0
Sep 7, 2015 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Ireland U19
2:1
May 29, 2011 Euro U19
Ireland U19 vs Italy U19
3:0
Nov 18, 2009 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Ireland U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer McMahon-Brown K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arena A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland U19 30 / 100
Italy U19 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland U19's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Ireland U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Italy U19 let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland U19 VS Italy U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland U19

(Home)
03 Oct
Slovenia U19
1 : 2
Ireland U19
01 Oct
Qatar U19
1 : 1
Ireland U19
28 Sept
Faroe Islands U19
0 : 5
Ireland U19
25 Sept
England U19
1 : 0
Ireland U19
31 Mar
Ireland U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
Page 1 of 6

Italy U19

(Away)
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U19 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Sweden U19 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
3 Slovenia U19 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Cyprus U19 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Scotland U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Ireland U19 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
4 Poland U19 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Finland U19 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Ukraine U19 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Estonia U19 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U19 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Israel U19 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Germany U19 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 England U19 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Croatia U19 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Bulgaria U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U19 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Greece U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
4 Serbia U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Hungary U19 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
3 Wales U19 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Switzerland U19 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)