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Ireland W vs Slovenia W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Pairc Ui Chaoimh
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Noonan S.
Assist: Stapleton J.
30'
Sternad M.
53'
Makovec S.

AI Match Summary

Ireland W host Slovenia W in the UEFA Nations League Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ireland W have averaged 1.63 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Slovenia W's 0.75 scored and 2.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Ireland W have won 3 to Slovenia W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.63) point toward Ireland W. Ireland W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ireland W
6%
Draws
4%
Slovenia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ireland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ireland W demonstrates higher offensive output (1.63 avg goals) than Slovenia W (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ireland W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in UEFA Nations League Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 14%
Slovenia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland W Slovenia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Ireland W vs Slovenia W
1:0
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Slovenia W vs Ireland W
4:0
Aug 20, 2014 World Cup Women
Ireland W vs Slovenia W
2:0
Oct 30, 2013 World Cup Women
Slovenia W vs Ireland W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Noonan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Slovenia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland W 84 / 100
Slovenia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland W Slovenia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Slovenia W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ireland W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Slovenia W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ireland W VS Slovenia W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland W651016:216
2Northern Ireland W62226:108
3Bosnia & Herzegovina W61239:125
4Romania W61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia W650112:215
2Ireland W650110:615
3Turkey W62043:76
4Greece W60062:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serbia W64207:114
2Finland W63218:211
3Hungary W61142:64
4Belarus W60330:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine W64118:613
2Czech Republic W641117:413
3Albania W620410:126
4Croatia W61054:173