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Ireland W vs Slovenia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Pairc Ui Chaoimh, Cork
Ireland W Logo

Ireland W

1 - 0
FT
Slovenia W Logo

Slovenia W

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Noonan S.
Assist: Stapleton J.
30'
Sternad M.
53'
Makovec S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ireland W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ireland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ireland W
15%
Draws
21%
Slovenia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ireland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Slovenia W at 1.68 per game, Ireland W at 1.5.
  • Model gives Ireland W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ireland W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 20%
Slovenia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland W Slovenia W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Ireland W vs Slovenia W
1:0
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Slovenia W vs Ireland W
4:0
Aug 20, 2014 World Cup Women
Ireland W vs Slovenia W
2:0
Oct 30, 2013 World Cup Women
Slovenia W vs Ireland W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Noonan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Slovenia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland W 85 / 100
Slovenia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland W Slovenia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Ireland W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Slovenia W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland W VS Slovenia W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland W

(Home)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

Slovenia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Slovenia W
0 : 2
Germany W
05 Jun
Austria W
1 : 0
Slovenia W
18 Apr
Slovenia W
2 : 3
Norway W
14 Apr
Norway W
5 : 0
Slovenia W
07 Mar
Slovenia W
1 : 0
Austria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)