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Ironi Modiin vs MS Kafr Qasim

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tomer Y.
80' Event
Igwe C.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Ironi Modiin and MS Kafr Qasim finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ironi Modiin
30%
Draws
54%
MS Kafr Qasim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MS Kafr Qasim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Ironi Modiin and MS Kafr Qasim close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives MS Kafr Qasim a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 17%
MS Kafr Qasim Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Modiin MS Kafr Qasim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Ironi Modiin
0:0
May 1, 2026 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs MS Kafr Qasim
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs MS Kafr Qasim
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Ironi Modiin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Modiin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomer Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

MS Kafr Qasim Compare

Top Goalscorer Igwe C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Modiin 23 / 100
MS Kafr Qasim 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Modiin MS Kafr Qasim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MS Kafr Qasim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MS Kafr Qasim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Ironi Modiin found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Ironi Modiin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Modiin VS MS Kafr Qasim
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Modiin

(Home)
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
30 Aug
Ironi Modiin
1 : 1
Kiryat Gat
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MS Kafr Qasim

(Away)
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
30 Aug
H. Ironi Rishon
2 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
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