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Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Bnei Raina

Israel Israel

Toto Cup 2025 Green Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hadida G.
Assist: Bilenkyi S.
27' Event
Keltjens D.
Assist: Balilti E.
46'
Sub
Habashi A. In: Hutba I.
Out: Habashi A.

AI Match Summary

The Toto Cup 2025 game between Ironi Tiberias and Maccabi Bnei Raina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ironi Tiberias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ironi Tiberias
6%
Draws
4%
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ironi Tiberias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Maccabi Bnei Raina haven't matched Ironi Tiberias's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ironi Tiberias taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ironi Tiberias have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 68%
Maccabi Bnei Raina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Tiberias Maccabi Bnei Raina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Ironi Tiberias
1:3
Jul 23, 2025 Toto Cup
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadida G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keltjens D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Maccabi Bnei Raina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Tiberias 95 / 100
Maccabi Bnei Raina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Tiberias Maccabi Bnei Raina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Bnei Raina has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Ironi Tiberias scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Ironi Tiberias has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Tiberias VS Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hapoel Haifa43016:49
2Maccabi Bnei Raina42029:96
3Shmona42024:46
4Ironi Tiberias41124:44
5Sakhnin41124:64
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hapoel Tel Aviv43017:49
2Hapoel Jerusalem43017:49
3Netanya42117:77
4Hapoel Petah Tikva41036:63
5SC Ashdod40132:81