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Irtysh Omsk vs Veles Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Red Star Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Irtysh Omsk play Veles Moscow in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Irtysh Omsk averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Veles Moscow averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Irtysh Omsk won 0, Veles Moscow won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.71 for Irtysh Omsk and 1.17 for Veles Moscow. This points to a Veles Moscow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Irtysh Omsk
35%
Draws
43%
Veles Moscow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Veles Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Irtysh Omsk picked up more points recently compared to Veles Moscow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.71 vs 1.17 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 20%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irtysh Omsk Veles Moscow
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Irtysh Omsk vs Veles Moscow
0:0
Mar 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Irtysh Omsk
4:0
Feb 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Irtysh Omsk vs Veles Moscow
0:0
Oct 15, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Irtysh Omsk vs Veles Moscow
0:1
Aug 19, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Irtysh Omsk
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irtysh Omsk 24 / 100
Veles Moscow 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irtysh Omsk Veles Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Veles Moscow or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Irtysh Omsk attacking → ← attacking Veles Moscow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irtysh Omsk scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Veles Moscow let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Irtysh Omsk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Veles Moscow lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 45
0.43 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110