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Iruna vs Pena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Iruna Logo

Iruna

2 - 0
FT
Pena Logo

Pena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iruna in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Iruna
30%
Draws
41%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Iruna have won more games recently than Pena.
  • Model gives Iruna a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Iruna Clean Sheet 17%
Pena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iruna Pena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Pena
2:0
Oct 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Iruna
3:0
Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Iruna
2:0
Oct 18, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Pena
1:1
Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Iruna
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iruna 57 / 100
Pena 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iruna Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iruna found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Pena has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Iruna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pena
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iruna

(Home)
13 May
Valle Egues
3 : 2
Iruna
05 May
Iruna
4 : 0
CD Baztan
28 Apr
CD Gares
1 : 1
Iruna
21 Apr
Iruna
1 : 1
Burlades
15 Apr
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Iruna
Page 1 of 6

Pena

(Away)
03 Oct
Pena
4 : 0
SD Logrones
26 Sept
Barcelona B
4 : 0
Pena
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)