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Iruna vs Subiza

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 game between Iruna and Subiza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Iruna
30%
Draws
41%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Subiza have managed 1.49 goals a game lately — Iruna are scoring more at 1.69.
  • Iruna are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Iruna here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Iruna Clean Sheet 20%
Subiza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iruna Subiza
Matches Played 36 41
Wins 20 20
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.49
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Subiza
2:1
Nov 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Iruna
1:5
Apr 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Subiza
2:1
Nov 19, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Iruna
1:3
Jan 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Subiza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iruna 58 / 100
Subiza 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iruna Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iruna scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Iruna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Subiza has conceded goals in 59% of their last 41 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Subiza
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iruna

(Home)
13 May
Valle Egues
3 : 2
Iruna
05 May
Iruna
4 : 0
CD Baztan
28 Apr
CD Gares
1 : 1
Iruna
21 Apr
Iruna
1 : 1
Burlades
15 Apr
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Iruna
Page 1 of 8

Subiza

(Away)
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Beti Kozkor
0 : 0
Subiza
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
26 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)