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Isbjorninn vs Bjorninn

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2020
Sun, Jun 7, 2020
4 - 5
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sigmarsson T.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Agustsson D.
44' Event
Oskarsson J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-5, with Bjorninn advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Isbjorninn
15%
Draws
85%
Bjorninn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjorninn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bjorninn come out ahead of Isbjorninn on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bjorninn a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Bjorninn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bjorninn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Isbjorninn Clean Sheet 10%
Bjorninn Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isbjorninn Bjorninn
Matches Played 12 8
Wins 1 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.08 1.63
Goals Conceded 5.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Isbjorninn vs Bjorninn
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isbjorninn Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdimarsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bursac M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bjorninn Compare

Top Goalscorer Oskarsson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agustsson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isbjorninn 10 / 100
Bjorninn 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isbjorninn Bjorninn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjorninn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bjorninn let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Away concern: Bjorninn has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Isbjorninn found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (12 games).

Scoring Trends

Isbjorninn VS Bjorninn
1 Goals Scored 1.63
6.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Isbjorninn

(Home)
09 Apr
Isbjorninn
1 : 9
Selfoss
23 Apr
Ulfarnir
2 : 0
Isbjorninn
07 Jun
Isbjorninn
4 : 5
Bjorninn
12 Apr
Midas
1 : 0
Isbjorninn
12 Apr
Alftanes
9 : 0
Isbjorninn
Page 1 of 3

Bjorninn

(Away)
23 Apr
Bjorninn
0 : 3
KA Asvellir
12 Jun
Keflavik
5 : 0
Bjorninn
07 Jun
Isbjorninn
4 : 5
Bjorninn
02 Jun
Vaengirs
1 : 1
Bjorninn
12 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
Bjorninn
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 4
KM Reykjavik 1
SR Reykjavik 2
IBU 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir -
Skandinavia -
Kria 2
Hamar 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fjallabyggd 2
TBD -
Magni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 7
KB Breidholt 1
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 12
Smari 0
Njardvik 4
Arborg 1
Augnablik 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 4
Bjorninn 5
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Sindri 1
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
Vaengirs 3
KH Hlidarendi 1
KFB 1
Vidir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hviti 2
KFS 1
Selfoss 5
Snaefell 0
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 0
Kari 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Tindastoll 2
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Samherjar 3
Nokkvi 0
Haukar 3
Ellidi 1
Alftanes 0
Fram 4
Skallagrimur 0
Ymir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Asvellir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Berserkir 1
KFR 0
GG Grindavik 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 1
Alafoss 0
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Vestri 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Stokkseyri 3
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Lettir 1
Reynir 9
Throttur Vogar 2
Aegir 1
TBD -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji -
1/32-finals
Midas 0
SR Reykjavik 4
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir 6
Hamar 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Fjallabyggd 2
Magni 3
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 0
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 1
Arborg 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
Keflavik 5
Bjorninn 0
Grotta -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Fjardabyggd 1
Vaengirs 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Hviti 0
Selfoss 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Tindastoll 2
Samherjar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Ymir 1
IR Reykjavik 4
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
GG Grindavik 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 3
Vestri 1
TBD -
Samherjar -
Volsungur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Stokkseyri 2
Reynir 8
Throttur Vogar 1
Olafsvik 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Einherji 1
1/16-finals
SR Reykjavik 0
Valur 3
Kordrengir 2
Akranes 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Afturelding 3
Arborg 0
Breidablik 3
Keflavik 2
Grotta 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Vaengirs 1
KR Reykjavik 8
Fjolnir 3
Selfoss 2
KA Akureyri 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7
Tindastoll 0
Fram 3
IR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Fylkir 8
Throttur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Reynir 1
Olafsvik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 3
Leiknir Faskruds 0
1/8-finals
Valur 3
Akranes 1
Kopavogur 6
Afturelding 2
Breidablik 3
Grotta 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Fram 2
Fylkir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Quarter-finals
Valur 2
Kopavogur 1
Breidablik 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Stjarnan 0
Semi-finals
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
Final
TBD -
TBD -