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Ischia vs A.C.D. Nardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Trombino A.
66' Event
Trombino A.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Furtado W.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Ischia and A.C.D. Nardo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ischia
35%
Draws
46%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • A.C.D. Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ischia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ischia Clean Sheet 20%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Ischia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Ischia
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Ischia vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Furtado W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Trombino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 42 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ischia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

A.C.D. Nardo let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Ischia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS A.C.D. Nardo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
Page 1 of 6

A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)