Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ischia vs ASD Ugento

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Piszczek F.
38' Event
Talamo N.
46' Event
Piszczek F.

AI Match Summary

Ischia in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ischia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ischia
15%
Draws
31%
ASD Ugento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ischia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ischia lately — more wins on the board than ASD Ugento.
  • Model gives Ischia a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ischia Clean Sheet 20%
ASD Ugento Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia ASD Ugento
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Ischia vs ASD Ugento
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group H
ASD Ugento vs Ischia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Piszczek F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Talamo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

ASD Ugento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 40 / 100
ASD Ugento 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia ASD Ugento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ischia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ischia scored in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Defensive concern: ASD Ugento conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Ischia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
13 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Ischia
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
Page 1 of 8

ASD Ugento

(Away)
11 May
ASD Ugento
0 : 1
Manfredonia
04 May
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 1
ASD Ugento
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 2
ASD Ugento
13 Apr
ASD Ugento
2 : 0
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)