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Ischia vs Boreale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Baldassi V.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Florio F.

AI Match Summary

Ischia in this Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ischia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ischia
30%
Draws
47%
Boreale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boreale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Boreale haven't matched Ischia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ischia Clean Sheet 16%
Boreale Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia Boreale
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.11 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Boreale
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Boreale vs Ischia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Florio F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Boreale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 31 / 100
Boreale 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia Boreale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ischia scored in 68% of their last 37 outings.

Boreale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Boreale has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
Page 1 of 8

Boreale

(Away)
05 May
Boreale
3 : 3
Cynthialbalonga
28 Apr
San Marzano
1 : 0
Boreale
21 Apr
Budoni Calcio
1 : 2
Boreale
13 Apr
Boreale
1 : 4
Cavese
07 Apr
Nuova Florida
1 : 0
Boreale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavese 34 24 6 4 57:24 78
2 Nocerina 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
3 Romana 34 17 10 7 50:33 61
4 Ischia 34 16 12 6 42:25 60
5 Cassino 34 16 10 8 39:22 58
6 Flaminia 34 12 14 8 42:36 50
7 Ostiamare 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
8 Cynthialbalonga 34 12 11 11 44:37 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:50 46
10 San Marzano 34 10 13 11 36:36 43
11 Trastevere Calcio 34 10 8 16 41:50 38
12 Atletico Uri 34 10 7 17 30:48 37
13 Latte Dolce 34 9 10 15 32:42 37
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 9 8 17 38:59 35
15 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
16 Nuova Florida 34 9 12 13 36:44 33
17 Boreale 34 4 15 15 20:44 27
18 Budoni Calcio 34 5 11 18 27:49 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)