Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ischia vs Montespaccato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Belloni N.

AI Match Summary

Ischia in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ischia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Ischia
15%
Draws
8%
Montespaccato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ischia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Ischia have won more games recently than Montespaccato.
  • Ischia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ischia Clean Sheet 14%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia Montespaccato
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Montespaccato
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Ischia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Belloni N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Montespaccato Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 57 / 100
Montespaccato 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia Montespaccato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ISC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montespaccato has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Ischia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ischia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS Montespaccato
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Ischia
Page 1 of 6

Montespaccato

(Away)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)