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Ischia vs Olbia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Putzu R.
68' Event
Belloni N.
79' Event
Belloni N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ischia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Ischia
20%
Draws
70%
Olbia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olbia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ischia come out ahead of Olbia on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Ischia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olbia, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ischia Clean Sheet 12%
Olbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia Olbia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Olbia
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Olbia
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Ischia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Belloni N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Olbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Putzu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 30 / 100
Olbia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia Olbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olbia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Ischia's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ischia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS Olbia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0
Ischia
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Olbia

(Away)
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1
Olbia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ischia 2
Olbia 1
Anzio Calcio 1924 2
Real Monterotondo 1