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Ischia vs Scafatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Palmieri C.
85' Event
Molinaro S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Ischia and Scafatese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ischia
15%
Draws
45%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scafatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Very High Confidence
  • Scafatese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Scafatese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Scafatese have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ischia Clean Sheet 10%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia Scafatese
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 13 27
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.71 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Scafatese
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Scafatese vs Ischia
3:0
Nov 20, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Scafatese vs Ischia
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmieri C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molinaro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 10 / 100
Scafatese 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia Scafatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Ischia scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Ischia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Scafatese conceded in 54% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS Scafatese
0.71 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Ischia
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Scafatese

(Away)
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
28 Jul
Pineto
1 : 4
Scafatese
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
31 May
Scafatese
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)