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Ischia vs Scafatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Palmieri C.
85' Event
Molinaro S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Ischia and Scafatese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ischia
35%
Draws
58%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scafatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Scafatese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Scafatese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Scafatese have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ischia Clean Sheet 10%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia Scafatese
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 11 23
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.16 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Scafatese
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Scafatese vs Ischia
3:0
Nov 20, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Scafatese vs Ischia
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmieri C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molinaro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 18 / 100
Scafatese 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia Scafatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scafatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Ischia scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Scafatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 37 matches.

Solid form: Ischia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS Scafatese
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0
Ischia
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Scafatese

(Away)
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)