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Isernia vs Aquila Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sereni M.
13' Event
Cascio F.
78' Event
Sereni M.

AI Match Summary

Aquila Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquila Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Isernia
20%
Draws
52%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Isernia haven't matched Aquila Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Aquila Calcio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Isernia Clean Sheet 20%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isernia Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Aquila Calcio
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Isernia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isernia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cascio F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Sereni M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isernia 20 / 100
Aquila Calcio 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isernia Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Isernia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Aquila Calcio has conceded goals in 56% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Isernia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquila Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Isernia

(Home)
04 May
Fossombrone
1 : 0
Isernia
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Isernia
1 : 2
Aquila Calcio
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Isernia
Page 1 of 6

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)