Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Isernia vs Fermana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Cascio F.
64' Event
Tafa S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Isernia and Fermana finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Isernia
15%
Draws
34%
Fermana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Isernia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Isernia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Isernia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Isernia Clean Sheet 68%
Fermana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isernia Fermana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Fermana
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Isernia
0:2
Apr 10, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Isernia
3:2
Nov 22, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Fermana
1:0
Jan 19, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Fermana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isernia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cascio F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fermana Compare

Top Goalscorer Tafa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isernia 68 / 100
Fermana 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isernia Fermana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isernia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fermana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Fermana registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Isernia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Isernia VS Fermana
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Isernia

(Home)
04 May
Fossombrone
1 : 0
Isernia
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Isernia
1 : 2
Aquila Calcio
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Isernia
Page 1 of 6

Fermana

(Away)
04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0
Fermana
27 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Sambenedettese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1
Fermana
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)