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Isernia vs Roma City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Trasciani D.
50' Event
Bainotto T.
66' Event
Costa A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Isernia and Roma City finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roma City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Isernia
20%
Draws
36%
Roma City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Isernia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Roma City come out ahead of Isernia on wins alone.
  • Isernia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Isernia Clean Sheet 20%
Roma City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isernia Roma City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Isernia
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Roma City
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isernia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bainotto T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Roma City Compare

Top Goalscorer Trasciani D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Costa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isernia 49 / 100
Roma City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isernia Roma City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isernia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roma City let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Isernia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Isernia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Isernia VS Roma City
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Isernia

(Home)
04 May
Fossombrone
1 : 0
Isernia
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Isernia
1 : 2
Aquila Calcio
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Isernia
Page 1 of 6

Roma City

(Away)
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0
Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0
Roma City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)