Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iskra Danilovgrad vs Grbalj

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2025/2026 Braca Velasevic Stadium, Danilovgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Scepanovic M.
41' Event
Stanisavic S.
56' Event
Milic S.

AI Match Summary

Iskra Danilovgrad in this Druga Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iskra Danilovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Iskra Danilovgrad
30%
Draws
37%
Grbalj
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grbalj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Iskra Danilovgrad have won more games recently than Grbalj.
  • Model gives Grbalj a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Iskra Danilovgrad Clean Sheet 21%
Grbalj Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Danilovgrad Grbalj
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Iskra Danilovgrad
2:2
Mar 18, 2026 Druga Liga
Iskra Danilovgrad vs Grbalj
5:1
Nov 8, 2025 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Iskra Danilovgrad
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Druga Liga
Iskra Danilovgrad vs Grbalj
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Iskra Danilovgrad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iskra Danilovgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Scepanovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Grbalj Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanisavic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Danilovgrad 16 / 100
Grbalj 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Danilovgrad Grbalj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grbalj Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Iskra Danilovgrad found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Grbalj has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Iskra Danilovgrad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Danilovgrad VS Grbalj
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Danilovgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Kom Podgorica
0 : 1
Iskra Danilovgrad
20 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
0 : 2
Lovcen
16 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Iskra Danilovgrad
12 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
1 : 1
FK Podgorica
06 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Iskra Danilovgrad
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Grbalj

(Away)
26 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 1
Rudar
20 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 0
Berane
12 Sept
Grbalj
1 : 1
Lovcen
05 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Grbalj
30 Aug
Grbalj
0 : 0
FK Podgorica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 36 23 5 8 81:31 74
2 Grbalj 36 21 4 11 63:42 67
3 Iskra Danilovgrad 36 17 13 6 51:34 64
4 Berane 36 12 14 10 45:36 50
5 Kom Podgorica 36 15 5 16 47:43 50
6 Lovcen 36 14 6 16 34:45 48
7 FK Podgorica 36 13 8 15 39:46 47
8 Rudar 36 12 9 15 47:48 45
9 Igalo 36 8 8 20 21:58 32
10 Internacional Podgorica 36 5 8 23 31:76 23
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)