Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iskra Ribnita vs Politehnica UTM

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nkalle Y.
44' Event
Gandi S.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2025/2026 game between Iskra Ribnita and Politehnica UTM finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Politehnica UTM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Iskra Ribnita
22%
Draws
18%
Politehnica UTM
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Iskra Ribnita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Politehnica UTM come out ahead of Iskra Ribnita on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iskra Ribnita's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 19%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Ribnita Politehnica UTM
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Politehnica UTM
0:2
Mar 20, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Iskra Ribnita
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iskra Ribnita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Politehnica UTM Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkalle Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gandi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Ribnita 58 / 100
Politehnica UTM 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Ribnita Politehnica UTM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ISK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Ribnita found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Politehnica UTM has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Iskra Ribnita stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Ribnita VS Politehnica UTM
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Ribnita

(Home)
20 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
16 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 1
Stauceni
09 May
Sparta Selemet
0 : 2
Iskra Ribnita
05 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 0
Real Sireti
01 May
Iskra Ribnita
0 : 2
Politehnica UTM
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Politehnica UTM

(Away)
26 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
18 Jul
Dacia Buiucani
1 : 5
Politehnica UTM
11 Jul
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Politehnica UTM
04 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Sheriff Tiraspol
27 Jun
CSF Balti
3 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica UTM1064020:722
2Real Sireti1052316:1217
3Sparta Selemet1043315:1415
4Floresti102449:1210
5Iskra Ribnita102449:1310
6Stauceni100559:205
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Politehnica UTM1064020:722
2Real Sireti1052316:1217
3Sparta Selemet1043315:1415
4Floresti102449:1210
5Iskra Ribnita102449:1310
6Stauceni100559:205
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)