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Iskra Smolensk vs FC Murom

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iskra Smolensk host FC Murom in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. This has FC Murom written all over it on paper. FC Murom have shipped 0.76 goals a game lately, while Iskra Smolensk have conceded 2 and scored 0.92. Past meetings favor FC Murom slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 6:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.63, favoring FC Murom. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Iskra Smolensk
15%
Draws
46%
FC Murom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Murom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Iskra Smolensk haven't matched FC Murom's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Murom's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Iskra Smolensk Clean Sheet 14%
FC Murom Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Smolensk FC Murom
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.92 1.62
Goals Conceded 2 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Murom vs Iskra Smolensk
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Smolensk 27 / 100
FC Murom 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Smolensk FC Murom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Murom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Solid form: Iskra Smolensk remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Iskra Smolensk found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

FC Murom let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Smolensk VS FC Murom
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Smolensk

(Home)
26 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
3 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
20 Sept
Vladimir
0 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
12 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
:
FC Irkutsk
06 Sept
Dynamo Vologda
2 : 3
Iskra Smolensk
29 Aug
Iskra Smolensk
1 : 1
Baltika 2
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FC Murom

(Away)
18 Sept
Zvezda St Peterburg
0 : 3
FC Murom
13 Sept
FC Murom
4 : 0
Vladimir
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
06 Sept
FC Irkutsk
:
FC Murom
30 Aug
FC Murom
2 : 1
Dynamo Vologda
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