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Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Isla de La Juventud and Pinar del Rio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Isla de La Juventud
20%
Draws
15%
Pinar del Rio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Pinar del Rio's 1 goals per match outpaces what Isla de La Juventud have produced (0.87).
  • Model gives Isla de La Juventud a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Pinar del Rio Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isla de La Juventud Pinar del Rio
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isla de La Juventud 77 / 100
Pinar del Rio 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isla de La Juventud Pinar del Rio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isla de La Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinar del Rio let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Isla de La Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pinar del Rio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Isla de La Juventud scored in 52% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Isla de La Juventud VS Pinar del Rio
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Isla de La Juventud

(Home)
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
18 Jun
Artemisa
0 : 3
Isla de La Juventud
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
09 May
Isla de La Juventud
0 : 3
Artemisa
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
Page 1 of 5

Pinar del Rio

(Away)
14 Jun
Pinar del Rio
2 : 2
FC La Habana
07 Jun
Artemisa
2 : 1
Pinar del Rio
17 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 0
Artemisa
10 May
FC La Habana
1 : 0
Pinar del Rio
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)