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Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Isla de La Juventud and Pinar del Rio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Isla de La Juventud
17%
Draws
13%
Pinar del Rio
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Pinar del Rio's 1 goals per match outpaces what Isla de La Juventud have produced (0.38).
  • Model gives Isla de La Juventud a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Pinar del Rio Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isla de La Juventud Pinar del Rio
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isla de La Juventud 77 / 100
Pinar del Rio 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isla de La Juventud Pinar del Rio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinar del Rio let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Isla de La Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pinar del Rio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Isla de La Juventud scored in 52% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Isla de La Juventud VS Pinar del Rio
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228