Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Islandmagee vs Ards Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ards Rangers in this Irish Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Islandmagee
15%
Draws
21%
Ards Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Islandmagee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Islandmagee lately — more wins on the board than Ards Rangers.
  • 21% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Islandmagee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ards Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 13%
Ards Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Islandmagee Ards Rangers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.66 2.86
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Irish Cup
Islandmagee vs Ards Rangers
1:2
Nov 22, 2008 Irish Cup
Ards Rangers vs Islandmagee
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Islandmagee 35 / 100
Ards Rangers 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Islandmagee Ards Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Islandmagee scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Ards Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ards Rangers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Islandmagee VS Ards Rangers
3 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Islandmagee

(Home)
30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4
Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0
Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1
Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6

Ards Rangers

(Away)
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
28 Jun
Ards Rangers
1 : 2
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Ards Rangers
0 : 4
Ards
08 Jan
Ballinamallard
2 : 0
Ards Rangers
17 Aug
Wakehurst
3 : 1
Ards Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry -
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St. Marys 1
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth -
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Bloomfield 1
Craigavon City 3
Newtowne FC 3
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
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Desertmartin -
Newington FC -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Knockbreda -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation -
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Seapatrick 1
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Islandmagee 4
Fivemiletown 1
Iveagh Utd 0
Ards Rangers 9
Laurelvale 6
Broomhedge 1
Bangor Old Boys 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
Malachians 2
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Moyola -
Immaculata 3
Abbey Villa 0
Seagoe 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 12
Rosario Youth -
Ballynahinch United -
TBD -
Brantwood -
Valley Rangers 5
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Magherafelt -
Colin Valley -
Donegal -
TBD -
Silverwood 2
Crumlin United 3
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela -
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Richhill 2
Ardstraw 10
Windmill 2
St. James' Swifts 1
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Sport & Leisure -
Rathfriland Rangers 8
Barn 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Orangefield Old Boys' 3
Strabane Athletic -
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Newcastle -
Killyleagh Youth 5
Newbuildings 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Sirocco 4
Dunmurry Rec 4
Dromore Amateurs 0
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Tobermore -
Banbridge -
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Cookstown RBL 1
Dromara 2
Dungiven 3
Suffolk 2
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Queens University -
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 3
Dollingstown 1
Groomsport 1
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Lisburn Rangers 5
Rathfern Rangers 4
Saintfield 2
Tandragee 4
Portaferry Rovers 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 1
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Mossley FC -
Dunloy 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
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Portstewart -
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Bangor FC 0
St Luke's 1
Rosemount Rec 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Comber Rec 2
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U. U. Jordanstown -
St. Patricks Young 2
Lower Maze 1
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Wellington Rec -
Markethill 2
Grove 1
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Annagh -
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Linfield -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
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Shankill 4
Ballymacash 3
Bourneview Mill 1
Derriaghy 3
Drumaness 3
Crewe 2
Chimney 2
Hanover 8
Armagh -
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Ballymoney 1
Coagh Utd 6
Oxford Stars 4
Trojans 3
Shorts 1
Crumlin Star 9
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/128-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth 6
Craigavon City 7
Newtowne FC 4
Desertmartin 2
Newington FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 6
Ballynure Old Boys 3
Islandmagee 1
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 5
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. 1
Moyola 10
Immaculata 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Rosario Youth 4
Brantwood 0
Valley Rangers 4
Colin Valley 1
Donegal 0
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 6
Ardstraw 2
Windmill 0
Sport & Leisure 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Sirocco 0
Dunmurry Rec 0
Tobermore 7
Banbridge 1
Dromara 0
Dungiven 2
Queens University 7
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 7
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Tandragee 3
Portaferry Rovers 2
Mossley FC 0
Dunloy 1
Portstewart 2
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 3
Rosemount Rec 0
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
U. U. Jordanstown 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Wellington Rec 2
Markethill 2
Annagh 4
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 2
Derriaghy 1
Drumaness 0
Hanover 2
Armagh 2
Coagh Utd 0
Oxford Stars 0
Crumlin Star 5
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/64-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Craigavon City 1
Newtowne FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 3
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 0
Moyola 5
Immaculata 3
Brantwood 1
Valley Rangers 0
Crumlin United 2
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TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 2
Sport & Leisure 0
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 3
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 1
Queens University 2
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Tandragee 1
Portaferry Rovers 1
Portstewart 2
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 11
U. U. Jordanstown 0
St. Patricks Young 2
Annagh 5
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 3
Hanover 2
Armagh 1
Crumlin Star 2
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/32-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
Foundry 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 0
Moyola 2
Immaculata 4
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 5
Newcastle 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Queens University 3
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Annagh 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 0
Crumlin Star 4
PSNI -
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TBD -
Loughgall -
1/16-finals
Coleraine 7
Lisburn Distillery 0
Knockbreda 0
Institute 2
Ballyclare 2
Portadown 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glentoran 2
Ballymena 4
Moyola 0
Immaculata 2
Ballinamallard 4
Dundela 1
Queens University 0
Dergview 0
Larne 3
Cliftonville 4
Warrenpoint 3
Maiden City 0
Crusaders 2
Newry City 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Glebe 0
Linfield 5
Glenavon 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Limavady 0
Dungannon 4
Ards 4
Crumlin Star 1
PSNI 1
Loughgall 4
1/8-finals
Coleraine 4
Institute 0
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Ballinamallard 2
Dundela 1
Larne 6
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 1
Newry City 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 3
Dungannon 0
Ards 1
Loughgall 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Cliftonville 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Semi-finals
Coleraine 3
Larne 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 1
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 1