Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020

Islandmagee

5 - 2

Shorts

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with Islandmagee advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Islandmagee

15%

Draws

57%

Shorts

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shorts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Islandmagee carry the better recent record into this one.
57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Islandmagee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Islandmagee, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 94%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%

Islandmagee Clean Sheet 10%

Shorts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Islandmagee	Shorts
Matches Played	29	11
Wins	18	4
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	2.66	2.64
Goals Conceded	2.24	3.45
Expected Goals (xG)	3.38	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2019 Irish Cup

Islandmagee vs Shorts

5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Islandmagee 34 / 100

Shorts 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Islandmagee Shorts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Islandmagee's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shorts has conceded goals in 82% of their last 11 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Away concern: Shorts has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Islandmagee VS Shorts

3.38 Goals Scored 3.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 88%

75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Islandmagee

(Home)

30 Nov

Islandmagee

0 : 4

Ballymacash

08 Jan

Cliftonville

5 : 0

Islandmagee

27 Jul

Islandmagee

0 : 3

Carrick Rangers

30 Nov

East Belfast

7 : 1

Islandmagee

02 Nov

Ardstraw

1 : 2

Islandmagee

Page 1 of 6

Shorts

(Away)

28 Sept

Islandmagee

5 : 2

Shorts

03 Nov

Shorts

1 : 3

Abbey Villa

29 Sept

Colin Valley

3 : 4

Shorts

18 Aug

Silverwood

1 : 8

Shorts

19 Aug

Crumlin Star

9 : 1

Shorts

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Lower Maze -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United -

Strabane Athletic -

Maiden City 3

Bourneview Mill 2

TBD -

Tullycarnet -

Armagh 7

Bangor Old Boys 0

Tullyvallen Rangers 2

Dunloy 3

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Tandragee -

TBD -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -

Comber Rec 2

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

Dromara 3

Coagh Utd 6

Crumlin Star 8

Kilmore Rec 0

Desertmartin 1

Trojans 3

Greenisland -

TBD -

Bloomfield 1

Foundry 3

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dromore Amateurs 1

Belfast Celtic 9

Woodvale 5

Windmill 1

Derriaghy 1

Annagh 4

Tobermore -

TBD -

Barn 0

Oxford Sunnyside 3

Suffolk 3

St Luke's 0

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Newcastle 4

Grove 2

Dungiven 1

Banbridge 2

Dunmurry Rec 3

Rosemount Rec 2

Holywood 1

Newbuildings 4

Lurgan Town Boys 3

Iveagh Utd 1

Abbey Villa 1

St. James' Swifts 4

Ballymacash 3

St Oliver Plunkett 2

TBD -

Dunmurry Y.M. -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

St. Marys 1

East Belfast 3

Newtowne FC -

Drumaness -

Newington FC 5

Cookstown Youth 0

Ardstraw 3

Fivemiletown 2

Ards Rangers 1

Wakehurst 3

Islandmagee -

TBD -

Shorts -

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 3

Ballynure Old Boys 0

TBD -

Immaculata -

Aquinas -

TBD -

Seapatrick 0

Craigavon City 5

Banbridge Rangers 2

Saintfield 0

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Bangor FC 3

Moneyslane FC 2

Malachians 1

Markethill 1

Mossley FC 4

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Glebe 3

Cookstown RBL 2

Laurelvale 1

Chimney 5

Richhill -

Ballywalter Recreation -

TBD -

Valley Rangers -

Hanover -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Oxford Stars -

Killyleagh Youth 1

Rosario Youth 0

Rectory Rangers 0

Downshire Y.M. 2

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood -

TBD -

Colin Valley 0

Moyola 11

Crewe -

Donegal -

Bryansburn 1

Crumlin United 3

Shankill -

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers -

Rathfriland Rangers -

TBD -

Sirocco 2

Seagoe 3

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/128-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 5

Lower Maze 0

Lisburn Distillery 3

Strabane Athletic 2

Maiden City 1

Tullycarnet 3

Armagh 2

Dunloy 1

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Tandragee 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7

Comber Rec 2

Coagh Utd 4

Crumlin Star -

Trojans -

Greenisland 2

Foundry 0

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Portstewart 0

Belfast Celtic 1

Woodvale 1

Annagh 7

Tobermore 7

Oxford Sunnyside 1

Suffolk 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 4

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Newcastle 0

Banbridge 5

Dunmurry Rec 3

Newbuildings 2

Lurgan Town Boys 0

St. James' Swifts 4

Ballymacash 2

Dunmurry Y.M. 1

Ballymoney 2

East Belfast 3

Newtowne FC 0

Newington FC 2

Ardstraw 4

Wakehurst 1

Islandmagee 5

Shorts 2

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 2

Immaculata 0

Aquinas 2

Craigavon City 1

Banbridge Rangers 0

Bangor FC 3

Moneyslane FC 9

Mossley FC 0

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Glebe 1

Chimney 2

Richhill 0

Valley Rangers 3

Hanover -

Oxford Stars -

Killyleagh Youth 1

Downshire Y.M. 0

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 4

Moyola 3

Crewe 3

Crumlin United 4

Shankill 1

Lisburn Rangers 4

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Seagoe 2

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/64-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 2

Lisburn Distillery 1

Tullycarnet 4

Armagh 3

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2

Coagh Utd 3

Crumlin Star 1

Greenisland 0

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Belfast Celtic 3

Annagh 1

Tobermore 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Banbridge 2

Dunmurry Rec 1

St. James' Swifts 0

Ballymacash 4

East Belfast 3

Newington FC 0

Ardstraw 1

Islandmagee 2

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 3

Aquinas 0

Bangor FC 5

Moneyslane FC 1

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Chimney 0

Valley Rangers 3

Hanover 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 1

Crumlin United 0

Lisburn Rangers 0

Rathfriland Rangers 3

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/32-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 6

Tullycarnet 0

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Coagh Utd 0

Crumlin Star 1

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Belfast Celtic 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Banbridge 3

Ballymacash 2

East Belfast 7

Islandmagee 1

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 1

Bangor FC 3

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Valley Rangers 1

Hanover 5

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 2

Rathfriland Rangers 5

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/16-finals

Knockbreda 3

Dergview 2

Ballinamallard 1

Dollingstown 0

Warrenpoint 3

PSNI 1

Ballymena 2

Crumlin Star 0

Ballyclare 2

Harland & Wolff 1

Larne 8

Belfast Celtic 0

Glenavon 0

Coleraine 2

Banbridge 3

East Belfast 2

Institute 2

Dungannon 3

Newry City 3

Bangor FC 1

Cliftonville 6

Hanover 0

Loughgall 1

Rathfriland Rangers 2

Queens University 2

Linfield 1

Glentoran 3

Portadown 2

Ards 1

Carrick Rangers 3

Crusaders 3

Dundela 0

1/8-finals

Knockbreda 2

Ballinamallard 5

Warrenpoint 1

Ballymena 2

Ballyclare 0

Larne 1

Coleraine 3

Banbridge 0

Dungannon 4

Newry City 2

Cliftonville 3

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Queens University 2

Glentoran 3

Carrick Rangers 1

Crusaders 5

Quarter-finals

Ballinamallard 0

Ballymena 2

Larne 2

Coleraine 3

Dungannon 1

Cliftonville 2

Glentoran 2

Crusaders 1

Semi-finals

Ballymena 2

Coleraine 1

Cliftonville 1

Glentoran 2

Final

Ballymena 1

Glentoran 2

Islandmagee vs Shorts

Northern Ireland

Islandmagee

Shorts

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Islandmagee

Shorts

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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