Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Isloch Minsk vs Naftan

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga SOK Olympijskij, Minsk
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Yudchits E.
42' Event
Yudchits E.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Khvashchinskiy V. In: Butko A.
Out: Khvashchinskiy V.

AI Match Summary

Isloch Minsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Isloch Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Isloch Minsk
30%
Draws
23%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Isloch Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Isloch Minsk have won more games recently than Naftan.
  • Model gives Isloch Minsk a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Isloch Minsk Clean Sheet 68%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isloch Minsk Naftan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Naftan
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Isloch Minsk vs Naftan
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Isloch Minsk
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Naftan
3:0
Feb 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Isloch Minsk vs Naftan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isloch Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yudchits E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Seleznev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isloch Minsk 95 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isloch Minsk Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isloch Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Isloch Minsk scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Naftan conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Isloch Minsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Isloch Minsk VS Naftan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Isloch Minsk

(Home)
19 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2
Neman
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
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Naftan

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)