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Isloch Minsk vs Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga SOK Olympijskij
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Isloch Minsk play Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Isloch Minsk averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Vitebsk averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Isloch Minsk won 4, Vitebsk won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Isloch Minsk and 0.88 for Vitebsk. This points to a Isloch Minsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Isloch Minsk
28%
Draws
22%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Isloch Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Isloch Minsk picked up more points recently compared to Vitebsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Isloch Minsk Clean Sheet 25%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isloch Minsk Vitebsk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Vitebsk
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Vitebsk
3:0
Apr 11, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk
3:3
Dec 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Vitebsk
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isloch Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Khvashchinskiy V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makarenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vitebsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isloch Minsk 50 / 100
Vitebsk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isloch Minsk Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Isloch Minsk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Isloch Minsk attacking → ← attacking Vitebsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Isloch Minsk scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Vitebsk let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Isloch Minsk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vitebsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 32
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1474320:1225
5Zhodino1465323:1223
6FC Minsk1564521:2022
7Dynamo Brest1463520:1421
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1456318:1821
9Neman1462615:1420
10Vitebsk1445513:1617
11Slavia Mozyr1436513:1815
12FK Baranovici1434714:2613
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316