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Isola Capo Rizzuto vs Roccella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Isola Capo Rizzuto and Roccella finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roccella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Isola Capo Rizzuto
15%
Draws
85%
Roccella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roccella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Roccella come out ahead of Isola Capo Rizzuto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Roccella's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Isola Capo Rizzuto Clean Sheet 20%
Roccella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isola Capo Rizzuto Roccella
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 2 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.5 1.05
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Isola Capo Rizzuto vs Roccella
1:4
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Isola Capo Rizzuto
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isola Capo Rizzuto 10 / 100
Roccella 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isola Capo Rizzuto Roccella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roccella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Roccella has conceded goals in 79% of their last 39 outings.

Away concern: Roccella has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Isola Capo Rizzuto scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Roccella
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Isola Capo Rizzuto

(Home)
06 May
Isola Capo Rizzuto
1 : 8
ACR Messina
29 Apr
Vibonese
3 : 0
Isola Capo Rizzuto
22 Apr
Isola Capo Rizzuto
1 : 4
Roccella
15 Apr
Gelbison
3 : 1
Isola Capo Rizzuto
08 Apr
Isola Capo Rizzuto
0 : 1
Troina
Page 1 of 6

Roccella

(Away)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)